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Who's the 'bet'er man?

Winners bet on Jagada

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Who's the 'bet'er man?

So who is the better bettor - Manteca Bulletin reporter Jason Campbell, left, or his colleague Jagada Chambers? We'll find out when the 150th San Joaquin County Fair opens Wednesday with horse raci...

HIME ROMERO/The Bulletin

POSTED June 13, 2010 2:06 a.m.
The line between cocky and convinced is very slim.

Most of the time I end up on the cocky side, because I have found out that believing that you can when you probably can’t, can get you a lot closer than going in defeated. Nonetheless, when fellow reporter Jason Campbell and I agreed to a small-stakes wagering competition for the opening day of the San Joaquin County Fair’s 150th birthday celebration, I knew it would be as easy as 1-2-3.

Campbell has played a minimal role in my overwhelming success turning in winning tickets on race day. He’s dropped me a couple of texts that I’ve used to my advantage, but in no way does he have what it takes to turn a profit off a mere $20 bill.

The scenario will place 20-bucks in each of our hands and we will both attack one race on the fair’s opening day card. The winner will be the person (me) who is holding the most American currency after the entire $20 has been wagered on the agreed race.

If we were handicapping his chances of doing that, it would probably somewhere around 35-1. I can assure you, there is no way he can parlay his cash into more than I can. I am proven.

I’ve been at the window, I’ve been at the track, I’ve sweated through heartbreaks and glorious pots, there isn’t too much I haven’t seen when it comes to the ponies. So now, all that experience will be on display when I maximize my opportunity to gloat at Mr. Campbell’s expense.

There are a zillion ways to make a horse-racing wager, but there is only one way to pick a winner. The surest thing in the ponies, is knowing there isn’t a surest thing. What may be important to the Campbell types (track history, bullet speed drills, jockey experience over the distance), could never be more telling than seeing your race-favorite dropping a load as he exits the paddock.

For the sake of keeping my “experience” advantage over Campbell, I won’t go into detail about what I will be focused on, but I will most certainly roll into the Sam Joaquin County Fairgrounds prepared.

I know a lot of you are thinking, ‘What about your Belmont predictions’, well, hey, you may have a point. I only picked three out of the top-4 horses and had it not been for some evil long shot deciding to win the race, I would probably be on vacation this week in Belize.  But you can’t call all the horses all of the time.

But if I was betting on this outcome, I surely would have my cash in the corner of the proven winner.

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