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No matter who ends up getting covered with the beautiful bouquet of roses after the 137th Kentucky Derby, the chances of the winning jockey-horse combination coming in at hefty odds seem to be pretty good.
The 20-horse field has been trimmed to 19 with the scratch of former favorite Uncle Mo, leaving the nation’s earning’s leader, Dialed In, as the Derby’s favorite. Dialed In (No. 8-horse) will l take the lion’s share of the wagering, likely making a deep and talented field more lucrative than even expected.
My allegiance will fall on the shoulders, legs and hopefully nose, of derby entry Shackleford to come home first. Shackleford’s runner-up finish in the Florida Derby to Dialed In displayed something that I like, regardless of how slow the fractions were.
I think his best trip is still in front of him and jockey Jesus Castanon has to pull it out. When Dialed In edged him out by a nose at the tape, Shackleford (No. 14-horse) had been on the gas maybe a bit too soon. If he is capable of getting out in the front end of the pack, cruise for the bulk of the 1 ¼ mile race and hit it late, things could be looking good for trainer Dale Romans.
Archarcharch (No. 1-horse) was one of my top-tier horses, but the complications that will come with his pulling the always-daunting rail post, leaves the winner of the Arkansas Derby with too step a climb to make.
Jockey Corey Nakatani will be ushering around trainer Steve Asmussen’s only entry with 6-1 morning line Nehro. Nehro (No.19-horse) will definitely be in all of my exotic plays, but will likely lose value when bettors fall on him before post time. He will likely be in the 4-1 area, but well worth it as a definite possibility for the win.
Midnight Interlude (No. 15-horse) made a terrific impression during his Santa Anitia Derby win April 9th, and should surely be remembered at the wagering window. Trainer Bob Baffert is right at around a 30-percent clip, and has the horse on a steady climb of improvements on each distance extension. Baffert showed his magic in the Kentucky Oaks Friday with $14 winner Plum Pretty.
Stay Thirsty (No. 4-horse) has become a horse to watch by default for reigning derby-winning trainer Todd Pletcher. The chances of Pletcher not knowing Uncle Mo was a no-go are pretty slim, putting 20-1 Stay Thirsty in a lavish position for the trainer extraordinaire. It’s safe to assume Pletcher will have the long shot ready, and with the winningest jockey of the season, Ramon Dominguez, aboard, he deserves a notice.
There will be 60-percent chances of showers at Churchill Downs at the 3:24 p.m. post time, and if the track has one little puddle anywhere, jockey Calvin Borel will definitely get some action. Borel rode last year’s derby winner Super Saver with a magnificent trip in the slop. This year he’s on 20-1 Twice the Appeal (No. 3-horse) and with rain in the forecast he has to be taken serious.
May. 7, 2011 02:31a.m. EDT
SHACKLED NO MORE
Jagada Chambers
Manteca Bulletin
No matter who ends up getting covered with the beautiful bouquet of roses after the 137th Kentucky Derby, the chances of the winning jockey-horse combination coming in at hefty odds seem to be pretty good.
The 20-horse field has been trimmed to 19 with the scratch of former favorite Uncle Mo, leaving the nation’s earning’s leader, Dialed In, as the Derby’s favorite. Dialed In (No. 8-horse) will l take the lion’s share of the wagering, likely making a deep and talented field more lucrative than even expected.
My allegiance will fall on the shoulders, legs and hopefully nose, of derby entry Shackleford to come home first. Shackleford’s runner-up finish in the Florida Derby to Dialed In displayed something that I like, regardless of how slow the fractions were.
I think his best trip is still in front of him and jockey Jesus Castanon has to pull it out. When Dialed In edged him out by a nose at the tape, Shackleford (No. 14-horse) had been on the gas maybe a bit too soon. If he is capable of getting out in the front end of the pack, cruise for the bulk of the 1 ¼ mile race and hit it late, things could be looking good for trainer Dale Romans.
Archarcharch (No. 1-horse) was one of my top-tier horses, but the complications that will come with his pulling the always-daunting rail post, leaves the winner of the Arkansas Derby with too step a climb to make.
Jockey Corey Nakatani will be ushering around trainer Steve Asmussen’s only entry with 6-1 morning line Nehro. Nehro (No.19-horse) will definitely be in all of my exotic plays, but will likely lose value when bettors fall on him before post time. He will likely be in the 4-1 area, but well worth it as a definite possibility for the win.
Midnight Interlude (No. 15-horse) made a terrific impression during his Santa Anitia Derby win April 9th, and should surely be remembered at the wagering window. Trainer Bob Baffert is right at around a 30-percent clip, and has the horse on a steady climb of improvements on each distance extension. Baffert showed his magic in the Kentucky Oaks Friday with $14 winner Plum Pretty.
Stay Thirsty (No. 4-horse) has become a horse to watch by default for reigning derby-winning trainer Todd Pletcher. The chances of Pletcher not knowing Uncle Mo was a no-go are pretty slim, putting 20-1 Stay Thirsty in a lavish position for the trainer extraordinaire. It’s safe to assume Pletcher will have the long shot ready, and with the winningest jockey of the season, Ramon Dominguez, aboard, he deserves a notice.
There will be 60-percent chances of showers at Churchill Downs at the 3:24 p.m. post time, and if the track has one little puddle anywhere, jockey Calvin Borel will definitely get some action. Borel rode last year’s derby winner Super Saver with a magnificent trip in the slop. This year he’s on 20-1 Twice the Appeal (No. 3-horse) and with rain in the forecast he has to be taken serious.
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