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Crime isnt keeping up with growth in Manteca
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The Greek chorus echoes the sentiment that growth has increased crime in Manteca.
But when it comes to the United States Department of Justice Uniform Crime Reporting for the seven top felonies, serious crime in Manteca has dropped significantly for rape, aggravated assault, burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft between 2005 and 2015. Robbery is down slightly while the murder rate was double in 2015 what it was in 2005.
That is based on crime per 1,000 residents for the Department of Justice reporting year that runs from Oct. 1 to Sept. 30 to coincide with the federal budget.
The Uniform Crime Reporting methodology allows jurisdictions to be judged on crime levels by a common yard stick which is per 1,000 residents.
Manteca in 2005 had 61,815 residents compared to 75,019 in 2015.
A breakdown of the seven categories with raw numbers in brackets and the rate per 1,000 residents are as follows:
MURDER: 0.034 per 1,000 residents (2) in 2005 up to 0.07 per 1,000 residents (5) in 2015.
RAPE: 0.24 per 1,000 residents (15) in 2005 down to 0.13 per 1,000 residents (10) in 2015.
ROBBERY: 1.2 per 1,000 residents (71) in 2005 down to 1.1 per 1,000 residents (82) in 2015.
AGGRAVATED ASSAULT: 3.1 per 1,000 residents (195) in 2005 down to 1.5 per 1,000 residents (116) in 2015.
BURGLARY: 8.9 per 1,000 residents (553) in 2005 down to 5.6 per 1,000 residents (420) in 2015.
LARCENY: 34.7 per 1,000 residents (2,147) in 2005 down to 21.6 per 1,000 residents (1,624) in 2015.
MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT: 1.1 per 1,000 residents (662) in 2005 down to 0.53 per 1,000 residents (405) in 2015.
Department of Justice stats also show Manteca’s violent crime rate in 2015 — despite the jump in murders of which most were associated with an illegal activity — is still half of the California rate for cities with between 50,000 and 99,999 population. California is slightly below the national rate.
Manteca’s 2015 property crime rate for similar sized cities is under 5 percent lower for other California cities with between 50,000 and 99,999 residents and about a third less than the national average.

To contact Dennis Wyatt, email dwyatt@mantecabulletin.com