Manteca builders started 818 single family homes in 2025.

And when all of those homes are occupied, they will house 2,617 new residents based on the Manteca average yield of 3.2 people per dwelling.

Manteca single family home starts over the past five years tallied 4,629.

That translates into 14,875 new residents based on the yield factor.

To put that in perspective, in just five years Manteca has come with adding 1,242 residents of the City of Ripon’s entire 16,117 population as projected by the state Department of Finance on Jan. 1, 2025.

Manteca, once all of those 818 homes started last year are occupied, will be at roughly 97,000 residents.

That means it will take Manteca an average of 468 new annual home starts in the next two years to start 2029 with 100,000 residents.

The 818 housing starts in 2025 is down from the record 1,306 new homes started in 2024.

The 2024 home production number easily outdistanced the No. 2 year of 1,075 housing starts in 2000. That was three years after the first tract home south of the 120 Bypass was built near Woodward Park.

The 818 number was the fourth highest in the last five years.

There were 978 homes built in 2023, 875 homes built in 2022, and 672 homes built in 2021.

The period from 2021 through 2025 is now the highest five-year period on record in Manteca.

The 4,649 housing starts with an average of 875 a year tops the second-place five-year stretch of 2000-2004 when 3,887 new homes were built. The annual average for those five years was 777 homes a year.

Housing growth impact

on retail sector expansion

The impact of 2000-2004 housing growth on the retail sector was significant.

It stretches from a year after the last new supermarket in Manteca opened — the Spreckels Avenue Food-4-Less.

The five-year period saw Home Depot, Target, and nearby shopping centers built along with the current bowling alley.

That growth spurt also led to the Stadium Retail Center, Costco as well as Orchard Valley anchored by Bass Pro along with JC Penney and the 16-screen AMC theater complex opening.

The last five years also has led the groundwork for two new shopping centers now under construction — Manteca Crossing anchored by Food-4-Less’ second Manteca location and Marketplace at Main with Save Mart’s third Manteca store.

There are also three other shopping centers in the works, a second bowling alley, as well as neighborhood commercial centered around proposed gas stations and convenience stores.

Manteca also has roughly 10,000 more housing units in various stages of the entitlement approval process.

That includes single family homes and multiple family units that are permitted, have secure full entitlements needed to break ground, or have development maps in various stages of review.

To contact Dennis Wyatt, email dwyatt@mantecabulletin.com